Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 1.072038 1.220731 1.382689 1.572224 1.788001 2.026078 2.308795
2025-11-30 0.830338 1.029393 1.265204 1.565301 1.937358 2.383932 2.961410
2025-12-07 0.683571 0.898965 1.169458 1.534375 2.014482 2.625591 3.464314
2025-12-14 0.575223 0.793819 1.081722 1.489110 2.051789 2.803275 3.886275
2025-12-21 0.502643 0.723239 1.026022 1.472583 2.115961 3.011884 4.359085
2025-12-28 0.464360 0.693676 1.020310 1.520319 2.268571 3.350444 5.040730
2026-01-04 0.413909 0.639730 0.972401 1.499189 2.315220 3.536164 5.511443
2026-01-11 0.385995 0.615768 0.965021 1.535761 2.448758 3.859003 6.215924
2026-01-18 0.354743 0.582861 0.939865 1.540679 2.531071 4.107074 6.822312
2026-01-25 0.322337 0.544505 0.901865 1.520139 2.568506 4.284152 7.325832
2026-02-01 0.291216 0.505006 0.857929 1.484718 2.576332 4.410792 7.752617
2026-02-08 0.264780 0.470778 0.819348 1.454051 2.588007 4.542486 8.196447
2026-02-15 0.244056 0.446831 0.800039 1.462307 2.681485 4.846279 9.018650
2026-02-22 0.222280 0.419170 0.772301 1.454302 2.748369 5.116231 9.822820
2026-03-01 0.200428 0.388716 0.735930 1.425620 2.772464 5.308343 10.498957
2026-03-08 0.179594 0.357769 0.695161 1.383590 2.765453 5.439368 11.068388
2026-03-15 0.164438 0.336149 0.669724 1.368244 2.808088 5.668726 11.856521
2026-03-22 0.157492 0.330153 0.674035 1.412568 2.974818 6.159609 13.233536
2026-03-29 0.144568 0.310424 0.648700 1.392949 3.006713 6.378495 14.059977
2026-04-05 0.138068 0.303510 0.648882 1.426906 3.155260 6.854558 15.494103
2026-04-12 0.129456 0.291094 0.636176 1.431473 3.239975 7.201948 16.679669
2026-04-19 0.119652 0.274999 0.613913 1.412401 3.269678 7.431147 17.620058
2026-04-26 0.109692 0.257510 0.586839 1.379512 3.264142 7.580169 18.388574